Back on my Weather on the Web post I mentioned some of the sites we used to watch the weather. One good one that I didn't list was the National Weather Service forecast discussion out of the Gray, Maine office. They give a summary of the reasoning behind the forecast without going into too much technical detail... The models they talk about are computer models they use to help forecast. Their job is to apply the human element of the forecast and the discussion gives detail on the reasoning behind. Therefore, you can get better hints on upcoming weather events.
There might be snow on our first ski day! Here is the Long Term part of the discussion with the interesting parts highlighted. THINK SNOW!
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THIS MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVERHEAD MONDAY NIGHT AND MOVE EAST TUESDAY. CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE TUESDAY AFTN AS A SFC LOW THAT WILL BE ORGANIZING IN THE SOUTHERN PLAINS MOVES NORTHEAST. ECMWF/NAM/GFS ALL AGREE THAT THE SFC LOW WILL TRACK THROUGH SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND INTO THE GULF OF MAINE. THE CMC MODEL IS THE ONLY ONE THAT KEEPS THE LOW FARTHER SOUTH AND HENCE A BIT COLDER. HAVE USED THE ECMWF/GFS FOR THIS FCST PKG. IT SHOULD BE COLD ENOUGH INITIALLY TO SEE PRECIPITATION START AS SNOW OR A MIX BUT ENOUGH WARM AIR MOVES IN TO CHANGE PRECIP TO RAIN IN CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN AREAS. IN THE MOUNTAINS THERE COULD BE ACCUMULATION AND WILL HAVE TO WATCH MODEL TRENDS AS THERE COULD BE A FEW INCHES OF SNOW IN NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. PRECIPITATION SHOULD CHANGE BACK TO SNOW BEFORE ENDING THURSDAY MORNING. ONCE THIS SYSTEM CLEARS THE AREA THURSDAY MORNING THE REST OF THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND LOOKS FINE WITH PLENTY OF SUN AND WARMING TEMPS.